Sunday, February 15, 2015

Fall and rise of Shri Arvind Kejriwal



 

Within 12 months of resigning from the Government Mr. Arvind Kejriwal returned to power with thumping majority, a mandate which neither he himself nor his worst detractors have ever thought.  In fact, he was completely down played by media when he terribly lost Lok Sabha elections barring three seats of Punjab.   The Psephologists on all important TV channels were amazed that they were nowhere close to their estimates.


Prime Minister Mr. Modi and BJP President Mr. Amit Shah must be in shock and pondering what went wrong.  Ruling party at centre must be in Chintan mode so that they can correct themselves and such situation might not repeat in upcoming Elections in Bihar and other States. 

Let us understand what factors contributed for defeat of BJP and astounding win of Kejriwal in Delhi Assembly Election in 2015.

Just after coming into power at Centre, BJP should have recommended for fresh election, but it was busy to form Government by hook or by crook, but it didn’t happen  and it lost precious  time to its opponents to raise issues,  Delhi was facing.

A period of  eight months was enough for Central Government to work for Delhi and give relief to the common man, particularly on corruption issue, but just immediately after fall of Kejriwal Government,  corruption again become rampant  that affected common man who were able to distinguish between those 49 days and period thereafter.  While Prime Minister was busy in improving relations with international community, he failed to focus on plights of Delhiites.   If you talk to any Rickshaw Puller or a daily wage earner, he will narrate you the tale.  BJP kept on  highlighting the PM’s success in taking India to the world stage and promising rapid development of the country, as a vision. But people care about immediate matters that touch their lives. High prices of food, high cost of living, lack of drinking water, lack of electricity, lack of sanitation, etc, all mattered. BJP offered no immediate solutions on these, while Kejriwal along with his party workers only focused on his promise to solve these. His message ran home
 

Prime Minister Modi couldn’t effectively handles Babas and Sadhvis who unleashed uncontrolled words against a few communities, which was totally against the professed Slogan of Prime Minister, “Sabka Sath, Sabka Vikas”.  Apparently, this led to vote against Modi en masse by Muslims and other minority communities.    A Fatwa issued by Imam of Jama Masjid Sayed Ahmed Bukhari a day before Delhi went to poll on 7th Feb 2015  to Muslims to vote to AAP went totally against BJP.

While Kejriwal was busy in preparation of Assembly election from ground level from day  he dethroned office, BJP was complacent of winning and it failed to connect with masses because of over optimism or euphoria of Lok Sabha and Haryana polls.  By the time it realised, it was too late and Ms Kiran Bedi was helicoptered as their Chief Ministerial Candidate.  This alienated the local leaders and grass root level party workers.  The strategy of campaigning by Prime Minister, Cabinet Ministers and other  State Leaders failed miserably.  This, adding to the fact that a rank outsider was chosen over old party loyalists, did not go down well with the faction-ridden members of the party’s Delhi unit.  Amit Shah’s problem was that he brought her in too quickly and gave her too much too soon. He needed to get a ‘buy-in’ from his party cadres before forcing Kiran Bedi on them. The move backfired

 
While BJP failed to bring out any manifesto, Kejriwal made a list of  promises in his manifesto.  Chief among them is to reduce power tariff by half, free wi fi, free water, thousands of schools, Lokpal Bill, corruption free regime and so on and so forth, though only time will test how he will fulfil a stream of free supply.


Perhaps BJP become fearful about Kejriwal as the Elections come closer and closer and instead of highlighting on issue based politics, BJP started attacking personally to Kejriwal, perhaps that didn’t go well with the voters.  Kejriwal, infact realising his past mistakes, didn’t utter a single word against opposition parties or for that matter industrialists and was much focused on needs of the people.

Ironically, it was the BJP’s repeated attacks on Kejriwal that brought him back into the limelight and he seized the opportunity to his advantage.

BJP has to take a moment and reflect on what the people expect from the party and what it has delivered so far.

With Narendra Modi at the helm, the industry has been waiting for decisive steps towards reform. That has not happened as yet. The coming budget will unveil the direction on the reforms process. BJP has to realize that without actionable reforms, progressive ideas like ‘Swacch Bharat’, ‘Jan Dhan’ and ‘Make in India’ will not be sustainable.

On the political front, BJP has to emerge from the shadows of the RSS and be decisive in putting down polarizing forces that threaten all the good work the party has done until now. The Prime Minister’s silence on this very vital issue is intriguing and going forward may undo the progressive image that he has managed to cultivate so far.